Thursday, December 12, 2024

Letter to the Editor: Storm Darragh did not ruin Christmas shopping evening

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Specific advice was even sought from the UK Meteorological Office, including a one-to-one discussion with one of their professional forecasters. All advice at that time pointed towards the very high risk of destructive winds in our area at the crucial time on Friday evening. As a fully qualified weather forecaster myself, I would remind critics, that weather forecasts of this nature are fundamentally probabilistic, especially in a fast-moving synoptic situation with weather systems following a number of possible of trajectories at uncertain speeds, always with the possibility of change and development in ways that even modern computer techniques struggle to predict. As it turned out, Darragh, for reasons of his own, was slightly slower in his approach to the UK than expected, striking our area overnight rather than during Friday evening.

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